Trump – 554,119 (63.9%)
Biden – 287,021 (33.1%)
Idaho taught me a lot. As I’ve said, it is almost clean as a whistle. More on that shortly.
ID trended exactly as the registration by party data said it would, and this taught me a lot about UT, AZ, and MT. More later.
Ada County, we have a record high Biden vote gain of 45k, when the previous record was 24k for Obama 08. If we assume a fair 2016 amount for Ds in Ada would be about 90k, then this is less ominous. Trump got most 2016 sit-outs back; GOP outregistered Dems in Ada 37k-26k (1.6 to 1 ratio) in last four year… but the % trended slightly D (1.6%).
Bottom Line – I feel Biden is about 15-20k heavy in Ada County.
Yellow – Suspect/Likely Fraud (1)
Green – Clean (43)